How do we interpret this metric?
The pandemic caused a dramatic drop in sales tax in every neighborhood within the city. Citywide sales tax revenue then rose steadily, but at the end of 2022, it was still about 15% less than pre-pandemic.
Generally, San Francisco generates the least sales tax in the first quarter of the year and the most in the fourth quarter. Therefore, trend lines go from low to high over the course of one year and repeat that pattern each year.
An increase or decrease in sales tax could happen for many reasons, including a change in the:
- number of consumers
- number of businesses operating
- type or cost of goods sold
The map allows us to track how spending in neighborhoods compares to pre-pandemic spending. The closer the percent change is to 0%, the closer each neighborhood is to generating the same amount of sales tax as it did before the pandemic. Neighborhoods shaded dark blue generated more sales tax than in 2019. Neighborhoods shaded dark yellow generated less sales tax than in 2019.
Different neighborhoods generate very different amount of sales tax. The Financial District/South Beach neighborhood has historically generated the greatest share of the city’s sales tax by far. The SOMA, Mission, Bayview, North Beach and the Tenderloin/Civic Center neighborhoods also generate a larger amount compared to other neighborhoods.
By the end of 2022, neighborhoods showed big differences in their recovery progress. For example, the Presidio, Seacliff, Western Addition, and Treasure Island neighborhoods were more than 25% above than their pre-pandemic levels, while the Tenderloin, Glen Park, SOMA, and Financial District neighborhoods were still down 18% or more. Since many of the neighborhoods showing the slowest recovery have historically been the biggest contributors to the city’s sales tax base, this will likely impact the city’s budget.